Demand — actual & forecast
issued 3 Oct, 02:00 IST
Global modelPeak 11.5 GW · 17:00 IST
Available on Growth
Per-plant generation for every settled day is available on Atlas Growth.
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Forecast
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Punjab · generation mix · back to 2020
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State at a glance
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Subsidies & Incentives
3 active schemes applicable to Punjab
Editorial seed catalogue covering central schemes (PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana, PM-KUSUM) plus state-specific schemes (DBT for agriculture, domestic free-units, OA banking). Rows with is_modeled=true are reasonable estimates pending direct verification of the primary GR / regulator order.
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News has moved to the News page
Every story tagged Punjab, with its sources and the figures it reports, lives on one page you can filter and search.
Read Punjab newsPunjab is drawing 9,248 MW as of 2026-10-02T20:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, biomass) account for 13.2% of in-state generation in Punjab as of 2026-10-02T20:00:00+00:00 IST. Nuclear and imports are excluded.
Punjab's current grid carbon intensity is 828 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-10-02T20:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand so far in Punjab occurred at 01:30 IST. The value remains provisional until the current IST day ends.
Distribution in Punjab is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Punjab runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Punjab live electricity demand, fuel mix, and carbon intensity from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Punjab is dominated by Coal at 86.8%. Grid carbon intensity is 828 gCO2/kWh.
Weather sensitivity
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
No MAPE history payload returned for Punjab.
No forecast scorecard returned for Punjab.
A carbon scorecard isn't published for Punjab yet — it appears once enough hourly generation history has accumulated.
Policy & RE Transition
Latest actual
FY23 · modelled
Shortfall
vs FY23 target
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
Interchange over-drawal +313 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange over-drawal +401 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange under-drawal -583 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange under-drawal -378 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange under-drawal -672 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange under-drawal -578 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange over-drawal +412 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange over-drawal +475 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange over-drawal +441 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange under-drawal -638 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange under-drawal -327 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Interchange over-drawal +756 MW vs schedule
Inter-state transfer · POSOCO PSP daily
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-10-03
YoY peak shift
baseline window
Load factor
2 daily rows
Shortage days
0 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
joined weather samples
Data centers
0 MW mapped
Fiber routes
212 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Seasonality
Monthly average daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Punjab yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|
| 0–300 kWh | ₹3.85 |
| 300+ kWh | ₹7.05 |
DISCOM Health
Punjab State Power Corporation Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
11.2%
Latest
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per PFC's Annual Integrated Rating of State Power Distribution Utilities. Backfilled FY16 onwards where published. Latest published edition is the 13th Rating (FY22-23 data); forward-year cells marked is_modeled=true.
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.