Demand — actual & forecast
issued 3 Oct, 06:00 IST
Global modelPeak 0.2 GW · 08:00 IST
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Forecast
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Arunachal Pradesh · generation mix · back to 2020
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Every story tagged Arunachal Pradesh, with its sources and the figures it reports, lives on one page you can filter and search.
Read Arunachal Pradesh newsArunachal Pradesh is drawing 153 MW as of 2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, biomass) account for 100.0% of in-state generation in Arunachal Pradesh as of 2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00 IST. Nuclear and imports are excluded.
Arunachal Pradesh's current grid carbon intensity is 24 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand so far in Arunachal Pradesh occurred at 07:30 IST. The value remains provisional until the current IST day ends.
Distribution in Arunachal Pradesh is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Arunachal Pradesh runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Arunachal Pradesh is drawing 153 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-10-03T07:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Arunachal Pradesh is dominated by Hydro at 100.0%. Grid carbon intensity is 24 gCO2/kWh.
Hourly disaggregation for Arunachal Pradesh is awaiting the cross-project Atlas DISCOM Disaggregation tier-A endpoint; once it lands the live page will surface P10/P50/P90 bands without any FE change.
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Arunachal Pradesh publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — per-state model v20 (holdout MAPE 5.9%).
Composed at 2026-10-03T07:00:00+05:30
Load shape
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Load distribution
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Weather sensitivity
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
We do not show a modeled-vs-actual chart for Arunachal Pradesh because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
no forecast-accuracy rows accumulated yet for this state; the nightly writer needs replayed (forecast, actual) pairs before scoring.
Median gCO₂/kWh · day-of-week × hour-of-day (IST)
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Policy & RE Transition
Latest actual
Shortfall
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
We do not show a solar capture-rate for Arunachal Pradesh because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-10-02
YoY peak shift
30D vs prior year
Load factor
729 daily rows
Shortage days
0 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
90 joined days
Data centers
0 MW mapped
Fiber routes
10 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Weather link
Temperature vs daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Arunachal Pradesh yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| DOM-HT-11KV | 0+ kWh | ₹3.80 |
| DOM-HT-33KV | 0+ kWh | ₹3.65 |
| DOM-KJP-BPL | 0+ kWh | ₹3.00 |
| DOM-LT-1P | 0+ kWh | ₹4.40 |
| DOM-LT-3P | 0+ kWh | ₹4.40 |
10-Year Tariff History
Published slab rates · no derived averages
DISCOM Health
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.