Demand — actual & forecast
issued 3 Oct, 02:00 IST
Mizoram is drawing 46 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-10-03T03:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Mizoram is dominated by Hydro at 100.0%. Grid carbon intensity is 24 gCO2/kWh.
Hourly disaggregation for Mizoram is awaiting the cross-project Atlas DISCOM Disaggregation tier-A endpoint; once it lands the live page will surface P10/P50/P90 bands without any FE change.
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Mizoram publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — per-state model v20 (holdout MAPE 6.1%); level-calibrated x0.97 vs canonical trailing 24h.
Composed at 2026-10-03T03:00:00+05:30
Load shape
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Load distribution
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Weather sensitivity
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
We do not show a modeled-vs-actual chart for Mizoram because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
no forecast-accuracy rows accumulated yet for this state; the nightly writer needs replayed (forecast, actual) pairs before scoring.
A carbon scorecard isn't published for Mizoram yet — it appears once enough hourly generation history has accumulated.
Policy & RE Transition
Latest actual
Shortfall
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
We do not show a solar capture-rate for Mizoram because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-10-03
YoY peak shift
baseline window
Load factor
2 daily rows
Shortage days
0 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
joined weather samples
Data centers
0 MW mapped
Fiber routes
4 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Seasonality
Monthly average daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Mizoram yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate |
|---|---|---|
| KJ-TOD-PEAK | 0+ kWh | ₹3.10/kWh |
| DHT-TOD-OFFPEAK | 0+ kVAh | ₹6.10/kVAh |
| DHT-TOD-PEAK | 0+ kVAh | ₹10.00/kVAh |
| DLT-O1 | 0–100 kWh | ₹4.90/kWh |
| DHT-O1 | 0+ kVAh | ₹8.65/kVAh |
| KJ-TOD-NORMAL | 0+ kWh | ₹2.45/kWh |
| KJ-TOD-OFFPEAK | 0+ kWh | ₹1.95/kWh |
| DHT-TOD-NORMAL | 0+ kVAh | ₹7.80/kVAh |
7 additional slabs hidden.
DISCOM Health
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.