Demand — actual & forecast
issued 3 Oct, 02:00 IST
Global modelPeak 5.1 GW · 10:00 IST
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Forecast
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Delhi · generation mix · back to 2020
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Every story tagged Delhi, with its sources and the figures it reports, lives on one page you can filter and search.
Read Delhi newsDelhi is drawing 4,212 MW as of 2026-10-02T21:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, biomass) account for 20.9% of in-state generation in Delhi as of 2026-10-02T21:00:00+00:00 IST. Nuclear and imports are excluded.
Delhi's current grid carbon intensity is 420 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-10-02T21:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand so far in Delhi occurred at 00:30 IST. The value remains provisional until the current IST day ends.
Distribution in Delhi is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Delhi runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Delhi live electricity demand, fuel mix, and carbon intensity from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Delhi is dominated by Gas at 100.0%. Grid carbon intensity is 420 gCO2/kWh.
Load shape
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Load distribution
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Weather sensitivity
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
measured but not on the IEA-1763 verified-<5% list — no green badge until the leak-free spike verifies this state on normal days.
A carbon scorecard isn't published for Delhi yet — it appears once enough hourly generation history has accumulated.
Policy & RE Transition
Latest actual
FY23 · modelled
Shortfall
vs FY23 target
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
Generation mix
Each band is a fuel's share of generation each hour — watch the solar wedge swell midday and coal hold the baseload, independent of total load.
SOURCE: SLDC fuel mix · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-10-03
YoY peak shift
baseline window
Load factor
2 daily rows
Shortage days
0 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
joined weather samples
Data centers
9 MW mapped
Fiber routes
35 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Seasonality
Monthly average daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Delhi yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|
| 0–200 kWh | ₹3.00 |
| 200–400 kWh | ₹4.50 |
| 400–800 kWh | ₹6.50 |
| 800–1200 kWh | ₹7.00 |
| 1200+ kWh | ₹8.00 |
DISCOM Health
BSES Yamuna Power Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
9.2%
Latest
BSES Rajdhani Power Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
7.5%
Latest
Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
6.0%
Latest
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per PFC's Annual Integrated Rating of State Power Distribution Utilities. Backfilled FY16 onwards where published. Latest published edition is the 13th Rating (FY22-23 data); forward-year cells marked is_modeled=true.
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.