Manipur — Energy Transition Snapshot
Generated 1 May 2026Carbon intensity (recent ~48h)
Generation mix (latest)
Peak deficit history (%)
Overview
Manipur sits in the North-East Region (NER) of India's synchronised grid, a zone characterised by high hydro endowment, thin interconnection capacity to the main grid, and structurally small absolute demand. The state's headline figure is striking: 80.1% of generation came from renewable sources in the latest hourly slice (as of 2026-05-01). Carbon intensity averaged 188.6 gCO2/kWh over the recent ~48h window—low by national standards and consistent with a hydro-dominated mix. The p95 peak deficit registers at 0.0% against POSOCO daily shortage data through 2026-04-23, signalling that peak demand has been met without recorded shortfall at the 95th-percentile level in recent reporting. Real-time demand telemetry and open-access charge data are not available for this state, limiting the depth of supply-demand and commercial analysis. What is available paints a picture of a small, RE-heavy NER state with adequate near-term supply balance but material data gaps that constrain investment and policy assessment.
Demand & Supply
Manipur's generation mix is heavily weighted toward renewables: RE share stood at 80.1% in the latest hourly snapshot (2026-05-01). Over the preceding ~48h window (2026-04-29T03:00 to 2026-05-01T00:00), RE share declined by 4.1 percentage points—a recent window delta, not a structural trend, and likely reflecting short-run hydro dispatch variability or scheduled maintenance rather than a systemic shift. The residual ~19.9% of generation derives from non-RE sources, consistent with thermal or gas backup typical of NER states during low-hydro periods. Real-time demand in MW is not available via live SLDC telemetry for Manipur, so absolute MW-level supply-demand balance cannot be stated. The p95 peak deficit over the POSOCO PSP series through 2026-04-23 is 0.0%, meaning that at the 95th percentile of daily peak shortage observations, no recorded deficit exists—a positive reliability signal given NER's historically constrained inter-regional transmission. Multi-year demand CAGR is not yet available (Atlas long-term aggregator not integrated), precluding a forward load-growth anchor. IEX DAM price data for the NER zone is also absent (upstream feed empty), so spot market clearing signals cannot be assessed.
RE & Transition
At 80.1% RE share (latest hourly, 2026-05-01), Manipur is among the highest RE-penetration states in the country on an instantaneous basis, driven by run-of-river and storage hydro. The recent ~48h window delta is -4.1 pp, indicating a modest short-run softening from peak RE dispatch; this is a 48-hour directional signal only and should not be read as a multi-year trend. Carbon intensity averaged 188.6 gCO2/kWh over the same ~48h window—substantially below the national grid average and reflective of the hydro-dominant fuel mix. Two critical transition metrics are absent: RPO compliance data is not yet integrated (IEA-58), so it is not possible to assess whether the state's obligations under the national RPO trajectory are being met or exceeded; multi-year demand CAGR is not yet available (Atlas long-term aggregator not integrated), so the pace of load growth against which RE capacity additions should be benchmarked cannot be established. The combination of high instantaneous RE share and low carbon intensity is structurally positive, but the absence of RPO compliance data and long-run trend metrics leaves transition posture only partially characterised from available data.
DISCOM Health
The commercially relevant metrics for DISCOM health are largely gapped for Manipur. AT&C loss data from the UDAY dataset is not yet integrated (IEA-57), meaning distribution-side efficiency cannot be quantified. Residential tariff data is unavailable (Atlas tariff endpoint requires an API key not yet provisioned), precluding any assessment of consumer-side cost recovery or subsidy burden. Open-access charge stack (CSS, wheeling, transmission, loss charges at HT voltage) is also unavailable due to a ReadTimeout on the open-access network endpoint, so the commercial cost-of-power signal for open-access consumers cannot be stated. What is available: the p95 peak deficit of 0.0% (POSOCO PSP through 2026-04-23) suggests the DISCOM is not presenting a supply-reliability problem at the 95th-percentile level in recent data—a baseline positive. However, with AT&C losses, tariff structure, and open-access economics all ungapped, a complete DISCOM health assessment is not supportable from current data.
Outlook
Over a 1–3 year horizon, Manipur's 80.1% RE share and 188.6 gCO2/kWh carbon intensity position the state favourably on clean-energy metrics, and the 0.0% p95 peak deficit indicates near-term supply adequacy. The primary uncertainties are structural and data-driven rather than immediately operational. First, NER inter-regional transmission capacity (Transmission ATC not yet integrated, IEA-56) is the binding constraint on both surplus export and import backup; any load growth scenario depends on how quickly evacuation infrastructure is expanded. Second, the absence of AT&C loss and residential tariff data makes it impossible to assess whether DISCOM finances can sustain the current reliability record or fund further capex. Third, the -4.1 pp recent window delta in RE share is a reminder that hydro-heavy systems carry seasonal and hydrological variability risk, which becomes material if load grows faster than storage or complementary capacity is added. Policy advisors should prioritise integration of UDAY loss data and RPO compliance tracking; investors should seek clarity on open-access charge structures before sizing any C&I or third-party generation proposition. IEX NER zone DAM price data, once available, will be a key input to any merchant exposure analysis.
Data gaps in this brief
- Transmission ATC: Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (see IEA-56).
- DISCOM AT&C losses (UDAY): Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (see IEA-57).
- RPO compliance: state RE policy dataset not yet integrated (see IEA-58).
- Subsidies / incentives: state catalogue not yet integrated (see IEA-59).
- Residential tariff: Atlas tariff endpoint requires X-API-Key not yet provisioned for tools-api.
- Multi-year demand CAGR: Atlas does not yet expose a long-term aggregator (only ~48h realtime).
- IEX DAM price: upstream IEX area-prices feed currently empty.
- open_access_charges: network: ReadTimeout:
- Transmission ATC: Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (IEA-56).
- DISCOM AT&C losses (UDAY): Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (IEA-57).
- RPO compliance: state RE policy dataset not yet integrated (IEA-58).
- Subsidies / incentives: state catalogue not yet integrated (IEA-59).
- IEX DAM price: upstream IEX NER area-prices feed currently empty.
- Open-access charge stack: network ReadTimeout on endpoint; total OA INR/kWh unavailable.