Himachal Pradesh — Energy Transition Snapshot
Generated 1 May 2026Carbon intensity (recent ~48h)
Generation mix (latest)
Peak deficit history (%)
Overview
Himachal Pradesh is a run-of-river hydro-dominant state in India's Northern Regional (NR) grid. Its installed generation base is structurally anchored in small and large hydropower, giving the state an unusually clean electricity profile by national standards. As of 2026-05-01T01:00:00 UTC, 100.0% of generation in the latest hourly slice is classified as renewable energy — a function of the state's geography rather than any recent policy shift. Instantaneous demand stood at 1,013 MW as of 2026-05-01T02:00:00 UTC, consistent with a small, hill-state load curve. Average carbon intensity over the recent ~48h window is 24.2 gCO2/kWh, among the lowest observable for any NR grid participant. The state's power posture is primarily shaped by hydrology (and thus seasonal variability), NR grid interconnection depth, and HPSEBL's financial and operational health — on which several key metrics remain data-not-yet-integrated.
Demand & Supply
Instantaneous demand was 1,013 MW as of 2026-05-01T02:00:00 UTC, drawn from a live SLDC feed — one of roughly six states for which this granularity is currently available. The fuel mix for the latest slice (2026-05-01T01:00:00 UTC) shows 100.0% renewable generation, reflecting near-total reliance on hydropower; no thermal or nuclear dispatch is registered in this window. The recent ~48h window delta in RE share is 0.0 pp, indicating a stable, hydro-saturated dispatch posture with no observable shift toward or away from renewables over that period. Peak deficit data (POSOCO PSP) returns no rows for Himachal Pradesh, which most likely reflects either net-surplus status or non-reporting to the POSOCO portal rather than a genuine data absence — this distinction cannot be confirmed without the underlying PSP dataset. Multi-year demand CAGR is not yet computable: the Atlas platform does not expose a long-term aggregator beyond the ~48h realtime window, so structural load growth trajectory remains unquantified in this snapshot.
RE & Transition
Himachal Pradesh reports 100.0% RE share in the latest hourly generation slice (2026-05-01T01:00:00 UTC), with a 0.0 pp recent ~48h window delta — the share has been flat and at ceiling across the observed window. Average carbon intensity over the recent ~48h window is 24.2 gCO2/kWh, which reflects the near-absence of fossil fuel dispatch in the state's own generation mix. This figure should be interpreted as the state's own-generation intensity; import-blended intensity at the consumer meter could differ depending on NR grid draws, which are not disaggregated in the current feed. The 100.0% RE reading is structurally hydro-driven, not an indicator of solar or wind buildout. Two metrics critical to a complete transition assessment are not yet integrated: RPO compliance (IEA-58 — state RE policy dataset absent) and multi-year demand CAGR (no long-term aggregator). Without RPO compliance data, it is not possible to determine whether the state meets its statutory renewable purchase obligations, nor whether surplus hydro is being credited against those obligations. Long-term RE trajectory assessment requires the CAGR aggregator currently absent from Atlas.
DISCOM Health
Open-access charge stack (CSS + wheeling + transmission + losses at HT voltage) is not available for Himachal Pradesh — the Atlas OA endpoint returns no data for this state. This removes the primary proxy for cost-of-power signals and OA market economics from the analysis. Peak deficit p95 (POSOCO PSP) also returns null, with zero data rows, preventing any reliability-based assessment of HPSEBL's supply adequacy. Three additional DISCOM health indicators are not yet integrated: AT&C losses (UDAY dataset, IEA-57), residential tariff (Atlas tariff endpoint pending API key provisioning), and IEX DAM price (upstream feed empty). Transmission ATC is similarly absent (IEA-56). In aggregate, the financial and operational health of HPSEBL cannot be quantitatively assessed from currently available Atlas data. The only demand-side anchor is the 1,013 MW instantaneous load reading, which contextualises scale but not efficiency or cost recovery.
Outlook
With 100.0% RE share and 24.2 gCO2/kWh carbon intensity over the recent ~48h window, Himachal Pradesh's generation posture is structurally clean but hydrology-contingent. The 1,013 MW demand reading establishes a small absolute load base, which limits the scale of both risk and opportunity relative to larger NR states. Near-term assessments are constrained by the breadth of data gaps: AT&C losses, residential tariffs, OA charge stack, RPO compliance, DAM prices, and transmission ATC are all not yet integrated. Until these are resolved, any quantitative view on DISCOM solvency, tariff subsidy burden, or open-access market attractiveness remains speculative. The flat 0.0 pp recent ~48h RE window delta and the ceiling RE share suggest the state has limited room to improve generation-side carbon metrics absent new capacity additions. Policy advisors and investors should treat the missing POSOCO PSP rows as an open question on supply adequacy rather than confirmation of surplus, and should anchor further diligence on HPSEBL's UDAY filings and the state's hydro licensing pipeline — neither of which is currently surfaced in this platform.
Data gaps in this brief
- Transmission ATC: Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (see IEA-56).
- DISCOM AT&C losses (UDAY): Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (see IEA-57).
- RPO compliance: state RE policy dataset not yet integrated (see IEA-58).
- Subsidies / incentives: state catalogue not yet integrated (see IEA-59).
- Residential tariff: Atlas tariff endpoint requires X-API-Key not yet provisioned for tools-api.
- Multi-year demand CAGR: Atlas does not yet expose a long-term aggregator (only ~48h realtime).
- IEX DAM price: upstream IEX area-prices feed currently empty.
- Transmission ATC: Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (IEA-56).
- DISCOM AT&C losses (UDAY): Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (IEA-57).
- RPO compliance: state RE policy dataset not yet integrated (IEA-58).
- Subsidies / incentives: state catalogue not yet integrated (IEA-59).
- Open-access charge stack: Atlas OA endpoint returns no data for Himachal Pradesh.
- Peak deficit p95: POSOCO PSP returns zero rows for this state.