Haryana — Energy Transition Snapshot
Generated 1 May 2026Carbon intensity (recent ~48h)
Generation mix (latest)
Peak deficit history (%)
Overview
Haryana sits within the Northern Regional (NR) grid, sharing interconnections with Delhi, Punjab, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh, and is dispatched under NLDC/NRPC oversight. The state's generation mix is heavily thermal-dominated: as of 2026-05-01, renewable energy accounts for just 0.6% of instantaneous generation — one of the lowest RE shares visible in the NR zone at this snapshot. Carbon intensity over the recent ~48h window averages 845.2 gCO2/kWh, placing Haryana among the more carbon-intensive grids in northern India. The p95 peak deficit stands at 5.7% (as of 2026-04-23), signalling a structurally tight supply margin at peak hours. Open-access charges for HT consumers total INR 2.95/kWh (as of 2025-04-01). Real-time demand telemetry from a state SLDC feed is not available for Haryana; the narrative below draws on fuel-mix and POSOCO PSP data instead.
Demand & Supply
Haryana's instantaneous generation mix as of 2026-05-01 shows RE contributing 0.6% of total output, with the balance drawn overwhelmingly from thermal sources — consistent with the state's historical reliance on coal-based central-sector allocations and state-owned thermal plant dispatch. Real-time demand telemetry (SLDC feed) is not available for this state, so absolute MW figures cannot be anchored. The recent ~48h window delta for RE share is −25.4 pp (from the window opening at 2026-04-29 03:00 UTC to the latest slice at 2026-05-01 00:00 UTC). This is a short-window movement, not a structural trend; it likely reflects the diurnal collapse of solar generation into overnight and early-morning hours at the window's close, rather than any installed-capacity change. On the supply-adequacy side, the p95 peak deficit registers 5.7% (daily POSOCO PSP series, as of 2026-04-23). A p95 reading at this level means that in 95% of observed peak-hour observations, the shortage as a share of peak demand reaches or exceeds 5.7% — indicating a persistent, not episodic, supply shortfall at peak. Multi-year demand CAGR data is not yet integrated (Atlas long-term aggregator absent), so demand growth pressure cannot be quantified beyond the current snapshot.
RE & Transition
At 0.6% RE share in the latest hourly slice (2026-05-01), Haryana's real-time generation mix is almost entirely fossil-based. The recent ~48h window delta of −25.4 pp reflects the window closing on a low-solar period; it is a short-window delta and should not be read as a directional multi-year trend. Atlas does not yet expose a long-term demand or generation CAGR aggregator, so multi-year RE penetration trajectory cannot be computed from available data. Carbon intensity averaged 845.2 gCO2/kWh over the recent ~48h window — a figure that reflects near-total thermal dispatch. For context, this is materially above the pan-India grid average typically observed in the 700–750 gCO2/kWh range, though no cross-state comparison is drawn from training data here; the 845.2 gCO2/kWh figure is sourced solely from the Atlas carbon-intensity endpoint. RPO compliance data is not yet integrated (IEA-58 pending), so whether Haryana is meeting its renewable purchase obligations under HERC orders cannot be assessed quantitatively. The combination of sub-1% instantaneous RE share, high carbon intensity, and absent RPO compliance data leaves the transition posture materially undercharacterised from current Atlas feeds alone.
DISCOM Health
The open-access charge stack for HT consumers in Haryana totals INR 2.95/kWh as of 2025-04-01, comprising cross-subsidy surcharge, wheeling, transmission, and loss charges at HT voltage. This is the primary cost-of-power proxy available; it signals the floor cost that large industrial and commercial consumers face when sourcing power outside the DISCOM. The p95 peak deficit of 5.7% (POSOCO PSP, as of 2026-04-23) is relevant to DISCOM health insofar as unserved energy at peak translates into load-shedding exposure and potential penalty obligations. AT&C loss data for Haryana's DISCOMs (DHBVN, UHBVN) is not yet integrated — Atlas endpoint IEA-57 (UDAY dataset) is pending. Without AT&C loss figures, the revenue gap, collection efficiency, and subsidy dependence of the distribution utilities cannot be quantified. Residential tariff data is also unavailable, as the Atlas tariff endpoint requires an API key not yet provisioned. DAM price data from IEX is currently empty, removing the exchange-price signal that would otherwise benchmark DISCOM procurement costs.
Outlook
Over a 1–3 year horizon, Haryana's energy posture is characterised by three quantifiable stress points: a p95 peak deficit of 5.7%, an instantaneous RE share of 0.6%, and a carbon intensity of 845.2 gCO2/kWh. Addressing peak supply adequacy is the most immediate operational priority; the 5.7% p95 figure suggests that capacity procurement — whether through long-term PPAs, storage, or demand-response — needs to close a structural gap, not merely handle outlier events. The near-zero RE share creates exposure to both carbon-pricing risk (if national carbon market mechanisms advance) and to RPO penalty risk, though the latter cannot be quantified without RPO compliance data (IEA-58 pending). The INR 2.95/kWh OA charge stack will influence whether industrial consumers pursue captive or group-captive RE — higher OA charges compress the economics of third-party open-access RE procurement. Three data integrations would materially improve the analytical base: AT&C loss figures (IEA-57), RPO compliance status (IEA-58), and residential tariff schedules. Until those are available, subsidy burden, compliance risk, and household affordability remain unquantified.
Data gaps in this brief
- Transmission ATC: Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (see IEA-56).
- DISCOM AT&C losses (UDAY): Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (see IEA-57).
- RPO compliance: state RE policy dataset not yet integrated (see IEA-58).
- Subsidies / incentives: state catalogue not yet integrated (see IEA-59).
- Residential tariff: Atlas tariff endpoint requires X-API-Key not yet provisioned for tools-api.
- Multi-year demand CAGR: Atlas does not yet expose a long-term aggregator (only ~48h realtime).
- IEX DAM price: upstream IEX area-prices feed currently empty.
- Transmission ATC: Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (IEA-56).
- DISCOM AT&C losses (UDAY): Atlas endpoint not yet integrated (IEA-57).
- RPO compliance: state RE policy dataset not yet integrated (IEA-58).
- Subsidies / incentives: state catalogue not yet integrated (IEA-59).
- Residential tariff: Atlas tariff endpoint requires X-API-Key not yet provisioned.
- Multi-year demand CAGR: Atlas does not yet expose a long-term aggregator.